The event sets a precedent: no one wants to cross the red line that could lead to the disaster of a world war. Once the actors actually saw the ball rolling on the tilted plane, they realized that it needed to be stopped by throwing water on the fire.
Technology, without the man who knows and is motivated to employ it, is useless. You can acquire the most sophisticated warfare technologies, but if you do not have the proper personnel, it is money wasted. The human factor is more essential than ever in the Army, where the combatant himself becomes a weapon system.
NATO's new Strategic Concept is clear, concise and thoughtful. But what was decided in Madrid requires that a good proportion of the NATO countries' forces, including that of Italy, be potentially ready and able to intervene. And to do so requires adequate training, means and funds.
In the more than 100 days since President Putin launched the invasion, NATO countries have had a clear indicator of the Russian armed forces' capabilities, and at the end of June, at the Alliance summit in Madrid, the NATO Strategic Concept for 2022 will be consequently agreed upon.
The West intends to maintain the flow of arms and ammunition to Ukraine, but will its industrial-military base be up to the task? Do the United States and NATO have enough weapons to supply Ukraine in a protracted conflict?
The war between Russia and Ukraine has imposed a difficult challenge on NATO and Europe. In particular, our continent risks to come out destabilized, between war at the gates, wave of refugees and socio-economic repercussions of sanctions. What are the scenarios for the near future and how should NATO and European countries deal with them?
It's hard to see this war ending with a peace agreement anytime soon. It will be a long diplomatic journey. Much more likely, some form of frozen conflict, similar to agreeing on an armistice, could take shape; after that, the preservation of Ukraine's combat power will be crucial.
One aspect of the spiral of war is that it can occur regardless of the will of the participants, as a simple result of their interaction. A major war may break out inadvertently, because the concatenation of threats, responses, retaliation, leads the contenders where they did not think they would go.
Daniele Scalea, President of Centro Studi Machiavelli, participated in "L'Italia s'è desta", a program of Radio Cusano Campus, to discuss the war in Ukraine. President Scalea talked about Europe's strategic independence and how the conflict could end.