Health care crisis and economic crisis. COVID 19. First policy assessments and recommendations is the twenty-fourth Dossier of the Machiavelli, edited by Daniele Scalea.

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • The COVID-19 epidemic, according to the most widely followed theoretical models, will continue for at least a year and a half, necessitating stringent social distancing measures throughout this period.
  • This scenario threatens very serious psycho-physical and economic repercussions on affected populations, potentially worse even than COVID-19, and can only be averted by the discovery of effective treatments or the adoption of non-pharmacological alternative interventions to the lockdown.
  • The scientific community has already made numerous proposals to this effect, including targeted isolation and selective closures/openings on a territorial or age-class basis.
  • Most Western governments have been deficient in their response to the epidemic. The Italian government has also shown indecision and confusion, and is exploiting the emergency to attack the opposition.
  • The recommendation is not to abdicate the synthesis and decision-making role of policy to technicians in a single specialty, but to seek the help of experts who cover all of the nation's needs, not just health care.
  • The second recommendation is to consider restructuring Italy's economic posture as of now, so as to guarantee self-sufficiency in strategic productions and make essential supply chains less vulnerable.
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Founder and President of Centro Studi Machiavelli. Graduated in Historical Sciences (University of Milan) and PhD in Political Studies (Sapienza University), he is professor of "History and doctrine of jihadism" and "Geopolitics of the Middle East" at Cusano University. From 2018 to 2019 he was Special Advisor on Immigration and Terrorism to the Undersecretary of Foreign Affairs Guglielmo Picchi. His latest book (as editor) is Topicality of sovereignism. Between pandemic and war.