US Presidential Election 2020. How Donald Trump can win reelection is the twenty-first Dossier of the Machiavelli, author Stefano Graziosi.
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- In 2016, Trump managed to build a politically diverse electoral coalition: he will have to reconstitute it (and possibly expand it) if he wants to be reappointed in 2020.
- Positive GDP and unemployment figures are a significant selling point for the outgoing president. However, Trump will face two tricky unknowns: the turbulent relationship with the Fed and the tariff war with Beijing.
- Despite his hard line on illegal immigration, the President has a good chance of extending his electoral consensus among ethnic minorities. In particular, it is possible that Trump will be able to strengthen himself among Hispanics: an element that could favor him in some key states (starting with Florida).
- A considerable part of Trump's electoral strategy is to point to the Democratic Party as a radical and extremist political force.
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Dossier-21-Presidenziali-Usa-2020Researcher of Centro Studi Machiavelli. Graduated in Political Philosophy (Catholic University of Milan) with a thesis on Leo Strauss. He deals with international politics collaborating with "La Verità " and "Panorama". His last book is Trump contro tutti. L'America (e l'Occidente) al bivio (2020), written with Daniele Scalea.
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