US Presidential Election 2020. How Donald Trump can win reelection is the twenty-first Dossier of the Machiavelli, author Stefano Graziosi.

CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE REPORT (2 MB, pdf)



EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • In 2016, Trump managed to build a politically diverse electoral coalition: he will have to reconstitute it (and possibly expand it) if he wants to be reappointed in 2020.
  • Positive GDP and unemployment figures are a significant selling point for the outgoing president. However, Trump will face two tricky unknowns: the turbulent relationship with the Fed and the tariff war with Beijing.
  • Despite his hard line on illegal immigration, the President has a good chance of extending his electoral consensus among ethnic minorities. In particular, it is possible that Trump will be able to strengthen himself among Hispanics: an element that could favor him in some key states (starting with Florida).
  • A considerable part of Trump's electoral strategy is to point to the Democratic Party as a radical and extremist political force.


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Dossier-21-Presidenziali-Usa-2020

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Researcher of Centro Studi Machiavelli. Graduated in Political Philosophy (Catholic University of Milan) with a thesis on Leo Strauss. He deals with international politics collaborating with "La Verità" and "Panorama". His last book is Trump contro tutti. L'America (e l'Occidente) al bivio (2020), written with Daniele Scalea.

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