Israel (again) at the polls. Outlook and scenarios is Machiavelli's Dossier #28, written by Rebecca Mieli.
- On March 23, 2021, Israelis will return to the polls again: it is the fourth time in two years.
- Netanyahu's Likud arrives at the elections as the sole majority force, following the success of the Abraham Accords and the vaccination campaign (which allowed more than half the population to be administered in just three months).
- The "ultra-proportional" system gives great power to small parties, exacerbating conditions of ungovernability but ensuring high representativeness to various communities.
- Yesh Atid and Tikva Hadasha are Netanyahu's main challengers, and are looking for a compromise. Meanwhile, Naftali Bennett presents himself as a catalyst for the interests of the secular and religious Right through strong nationalistic ideals and liberalist policies.
- The real foreign policy challenge for the next government in Jerusalem is the Biden presidency and the changing American agenda toward Iran and Turkey.